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☆ A fund manager beating 98% of his peers over the last 10 years breaks down why the stock market resembles the 'Nifty 50' bubble of the 1970s, when the market's biggest names got crushed as inflation s
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Disco is backOthers have also started to compare today's market and the 1970s' "Nifty Fifty." AdvertisementJPMorgan's Chief Global Strategist Marko Kolanovic also said in a note on Wednesday that fiscal spending and inflation could resemble the 1970s landscape. Similar to the 1970s, there are currently 3 active geopolitical conflict zones – eastern Europe, Middle East, and South China Sea," Kolanovic said. Kolanovic included in his note the chart below, which shows the correlation between inflation and the performance of the S&P 500.

Persons: —, Albert Edwards, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett, Jeffrey Gundlach, Cole Smead, Smead, Sears Roebuck, Alphabet's, Nvidia's, Microsoft's, Jeremy Siegel, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, " Rosenberg, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Bank of America's, Treasury, Nasdaq, DoubleLine, Investments, Business, Morningstar, Microsoft, Nvidia, Xerox Locations: Europe, Middle East, South China

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Wall Street rattled over Fed worries
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. About 97% of the oil produced today was discovered in the 20th century, she told CNBC. Clare Lombardelli, chief economist at the OECD, told CNBC that shipping-driven inflation pressures remain a risk rather than its base case. "It's the banks that made bad decisions that are making [other] banks look attractive in pricing," Smead told CNBC, who picked two bank stocks that are in play.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow, Vicki Hollub, Alex Karp, Clare Lombardelli, Cole Smead, Smead Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Street, U.S, Treasury, Nasdaq, Occidental, Organisation for Economic Co, OECD Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Wall Street anxious over Fed concerns
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the headquarters of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2024 in Washington, DC. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Overnight, U.S. stocks lost ground and Treasury yields rose amid lingering concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. About 97% of the oil produced today was discovered in the 20th century, she told CNBC. "It's the banks that made bad decisions that are making [other] banks look attractive in pricing," Smead told CNBC, who picked two bank stocks that are in play.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow, Vicki Hollub, Cole Smead, Smead Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, Nasdaq, UBS, Occidental Locations: Washington ,, China, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific, Beijing, Swiss

☆ 'This stock could double': Fund manager loads up on shares of two banks amid the volatility
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

There are opportunities in the banking sector despite a rise in volatility and concern over steep losses at some lenders, according to fund manager Cole Smead. The stock makes up 1.36% of the Smead Value Fund . He believes UniCredit's share buybacks while the shares trade below book value will drive book value growth higher than the current 8% return on equity. "When you buy back shares below book, there is a multiplier effect on book value growth," Smead explained. The fund manager expects UniCredit will trade above book value over the next 12-18 months and use its stock to pursue further acquisitions.

Persons: Cole Smead, Switzerland's, Julius Baer, Smead, CNBC's, RoE, UniCredit Organizations: Smead Capital, Western Alliance Bank, KBW, New York Community Bancorp, Investors, Western Alliance Bank's, CNBC Pro Locations: Europe, U.S

☆ '30% of the banks in America will disappear,' says fund manager
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'30% of the banks in America will disappear,' says fund managerCole Smead, portfolio manager at Smead Capital Management, expects 30% of U.S. lenders to disappear through consolidation over the next decade as many struggle with capital issues and profitability coming out of an era of low-interest rates.

Persons: Cole Smead Organizations: Smead Capital Management Locations: America

☆ Stock market in a 'very dangerous' position as jobs and wages run hot, fund manager says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A trader reacts as a screen displays the Fed rate announcement on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 31, 2024. The U.S. stock market is in a "very dangerous" spot as persistently strong jobs numbers and wage growth suggest the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes have not had the desired effect, according to Cole Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management. The figures came after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would likely not cut rates in March, as some market participants had anticipated. "We know the Fed has raised rates, we know that caused a banking run last spring and we know that's damaged the bond market. The Fed has not affected wage growth, which continues to outpunch inflation as we speak, and I look at the wage growth as a really good picture of inflationary pressures going forward."

Persons: Cole Smead, Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Smead, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Smead Capital Management, CPI, Wage Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ How to make your money work for you over the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( James Faris | William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +16 min

"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.

Persons: —, Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries

☆ Investors are ignoring future risks and competition concerns within AI industry, CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors are ignoring future risks and competition concerns within AI industry, CEO saysCole Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management, discusses Nvidia, Sam Altman and investing in AI.

Persons: Cole Smead, Sam Altman Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Nvidia

☆ UniCredit CEO Orcel's 'bank of Europe' ambition tough to realise
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Valentina Za | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

However, his aspirations to make UniCredit the "bank of Europe" are proving trickier to realise with the CEO setting a high bar for mergers and acquisitions in the euro zone's fractured capital markets, despite having what he describes as the biggest war chest among European lenders. UniCredit bought Greece's 9% stake in Alpha Bank (ACBr.AT) and struck a commercial partnership with the Athens-based lender, also acquiring most of its Romanian operations. The CEO works closely with a small M&A team he set up within UniCredit which constantly reviews potential deals in the markets and businesses where the bank operates, people with knowledge of the matter said. But uneven regulation across the euro zone, where progress towards a single banking market has stalled, complicates cross-border deals. Calling on Europe to follow his lead, Orcel says he has unlocked UniCredit's potential by giving it a unified strategy across its 13 markets.

Persons: Andrea Orcel, Merrill Lynch, Orcel, He's, Cole Smead, ALPHA Orcel, Siena, UniCredit, Smead, Jean, Pierre Mustier's, Mustier, it's, Carlo Franchini, Danilo Masoni, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Discount, MILAN, UBS, Smead Capital Management, Fund, ALPHA, Banco, Alpha Bank, Alpha, Banca Ifigest, Thomson Locations: buybacks, Europe, Arizona, Ukraine, Athens, HVB, Berlin, Milan

☆ Indexes are struggling but opportunity exists in individual equities, says Cole Smead
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndexes are struggling but opportunity exists in individual equities, says Cole SmeadCole Smead, Smead Capital Management CEO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the case for the Fed staying higher for longer, interest rates hurting stock valuations and trade picks in the energy and homebuilder space.

Persons: Cole Smead Cole Smead Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Fed

☆ 'Manias die in vicious ways': A pair of fund managers who have beaten 99% of their peers over the last 5 years warn the S&P 500 will shed at least 30% of its value when the current bubble pops
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-26 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

They likened the current environment to the dot-com bubble around 2000. Cole told Insider he thinks the S&P 500 will lose at least 30% of its value in the years ahead. "This financial euphoria episode has gone to a sustained high that makes the dot-com bubble look like small change," he wrote in the August 22 letter. Smead is the founder of Smead Capital Management and comanages the Smead Value Fund (SMVLX) with his son, Cole. Don't take that to mean the S&P 500 will deliver low returns every year until 2033.

Persons: Cole Smead, Cole, Bill Smead, Smead, Russell, Akin Oyedele, It's, Manias, Bill, Dubravko Lakos, Lakos Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Yahoo Finance, it's, Netflix, Visa, Mastercard, Paypal, Smead, Federal, JPMorgan, CNBC, Conference

☆ Smead Capital Management CEO compares China and U.S. markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmead Capital Management CEO compares China and U.S. marketsCole Smead, CEO at Smead Capital Management, discusses China's economic outlook in light of the People's Bank of China's decision to cut rates.

Persons: Cole Smead Organizations: Smead Capital, Smead Capital Management, People's Bank Locations: China, U.S

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Smead Capital's Cole Smead
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Smead Capital's Cole SmeadSmead Capital Management's Cole Smead joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his Q2 playbook, areas to watch in energy markets, and home builder stocks near all-time highs.

☆ Energy demand will increase with tech demand, says Smead Capital's Cole Smead
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy demand will increase with tech demand, says Smead Capital's Cole SmeadSmead Capital Management's Cole Smead joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his Q2 playbook, areas to watch in energy markets, and home builder stocks near all-time highs.

☆ JPMorgan vs. Bank of America? Analysts say one of the stocks is set to soar 50%
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

It's not just regional bank shares that have been hit by the recent banking crisis — large-cap bank stocks have also tumbled. JPMorgan was down nearly 6% last week, while Bank of America tumbled 8% over the same period. It said big banks are a "big beneficiary" and fundamentals at JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citi look "rather strong." For those looking to invest, CNBC Pro takes a look at what analysts are saying about JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America in particular. However, Bank of America has only 8% of uninsured deposits as a proportion of its total deposit liabilities.

☆ We need consolidation across Europe's banking sector, portfolio manager says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe need consolidation across Europe's banking sector, portfolio manager saysEurope needs consolidation across its banking sector, Cole Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management, told CNBC as he discussed UBS' rescue of Credit Suisse.

☆ 'Shotgun wedding': What the UBS rescue of Credit Suisse means for global markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Axel Lehmann, chairman of Credit Suisse Group AG, left, and Colm Kelleher, chairman of UBS Group AG, during a news conference in Bern, Switzerland, on Sunday, March 19, 2023. "The accelerating loss of confidence and the escalation over the last few days have made it clear that Credit Suisse can no longer exist in its current form," Lehmann said. In equal parts "shotgun wedding" and arranged marriage, UBS agreed to buy stricken domestic rival Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.25 billion) on Sunday. The government will offer a loss guarantee of up to 9 billion Swiss francs, with UBS assuming the first 5 billion of potential losses. Shares of both UBS and Credit Suisse plunged on Monday morning, however.

☆ European Banks are more attractive due to American capitalism, says Smead Capital's Cole Smead
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEuropean Banks are more attractive due to American capitalism, says Smead Capital's Cole SmeadCole Smead, Smead Capital Management CEO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss investing in Europe.

☆ The idea of a 20-25% bear market is 'adorable' and it's just not going to happen, capital management president says
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe idea of a 20-25% bear market is 'adorable' and it's just not going to happen, capital management president saysCole Smead, president of Smead Capital Management, says a "cute" 20-25% bear market won't happen, as he makes forecasts for the U.S. economy in 2023.

☆ Smead Capital Management: Predictions of 25% return in equity for Porsche AG
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmead Capital Management: Predictions of 25% return in equity for Porsche AGCole Smead, president and portfolio manager at Smead Capital Management, discusses Porsche's debut on the Frankfurt market.

☆ Fund manager says the bear market is going to get 'nasty' — but says he's not 'freaking out'
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-20 | by ( Zavier Ong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

He believes it is "still early" in the bear market, with further downside still to come. "We are not going to end up with a garden variety bear market. We probably got to do a pretty nasty 30% bear market or maybe even 35%," Smead, who is president and portfolio manager at Smead Capital Management, told CNBC's " Squawk Box Europe " on Thursday. He believes investors are overreacting to the current market conditions and the world is "more ready" than ever for these "first world problems." Now we are freaking out about higher rates and high inflation because they are first world problems, problems we just have not had in a long time," he said.

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